predict.narwsim.Rd
Takes an object of class narwsim
(as returned by narw
) and produces forecasts of right whale population size (by cohort) over a time horizon of interest. Prediction uncertainty is estimated from both process variance (i.e., replicate projections) and parameter uncertainty (i.e., statistical uncertainty in the relationships between individual body condition and health/survival, respectively). The latter is considered only if replicate coefficients have been sampled from the posteriors of the fitted survival and body condition GAMs using augment
.
# S3 method for narwsim
predict(..., n = 100, yrs = 35, param = TRUE, piling = 1, progress = TRUE)
One or more objects of class narwsim
.
Integer. Number of replicate projections. Defaults to 100
.
Integer. Time horizon, specified either as the desired number of years (from current) or the desired target end year. Defaults to 35
, which is commensurate with the average lifespan of a typical wind farm.
Logical. If TRUE
, prediction variance includes parameter uncertainty.
Integer. Year of construction. Defaults to 1
, such that piling occurs on the first year of the projection, followed by O&M for the remainder.
Logical. If TRUE
, a progress bar is shown during execution. Defaults to FALSE
A list of class narwproj
.