Takes an object of class narwsim (as returned by narw) and produces forecasts of right whale population size (by cohort) over a time horizon of interest. Prediction uncertainty is estimated from both process variance (i.e., replicate projections) and parameter uncertainty (i.e., statistical uncertainty in the relationships between individual body condition and health/survival, respectively). The latter is considered only if replicate coefficients have been sampled from the posteriors of the fitted survival and body condition GAMs using augment.

# S3 method for narwsim
predict(..., n = 100, yrs = 35, param = TRUE, piling = 1, progress = TRUE)

Arguments

...

One or more objects of class narwsim.

n

Integer. Number of replicate projections. Defaults to 100.

yrs

Integer. Time horizon, specified either as the desired number of years (from current) or the desired target end year. Defaults to 35, which is commensurate with the average lifespan of a typical wind farm.

param

Logical. If TRUE, prediction variance includes parameter uncertainty.

piling

Integer. Year of construction. Defaults to 1, such that piling occurs on the first year of the projection, followed by O&M for the remainder.

progress

Logical. If TRUE, a progress bar is shown during execution. Defaults to FALSE

Value

A list of class narwproj.

Author

Phil J. Bouchet

Examples